Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.340973 0.396721 0.458310 0.531343 0.615533 0.709492 0.822264
2025-04-06 0.238283 0.309955 0.397844 0.513301 0.660738 0.842464 1.083231
2025-04-13 0.182844 0.257801 0.356885 0.496939 0.689272 0.943547 1.304629
2025-04-20 0.152889 0.230234 0.338916 0.501935 0.739323 1.071318 1.569637
2025-04-27 0.136943 0.218242 0.338629 0.528612 0.819424 1.245996 1.916983
2025-05-04 0.121875 0.204433 0.332602 0.544310 0.883188 1.401865 2.252448
2025-05-11 0.107603 0.189245 0.321640 0.549704 0.930027 1.535205 2.566063
2025-05-18 0.094417 0.173591 0.307329 0.546906 0.961945 1.646596 2.854529
2025-05-25 0.082695 0.158569 0.291769 0.539357 0.983915 1.742457 3.125475
2025-06-01 0.073390 0.146437 0.279431 0.535388 1.010703 1.847809 3.421712
2025-06-08 0.063638 0.131997 0.260936 0.517605 1.010012 1.904115 3.635681
2025-06-15 0.061595 0.132236 0.269730 0.551725 1.108503 2.147065 4.211453
2025-06-22 0.053950 0.120256 0.253795 0.536710 1.112974 2.219613 4.481986
2025-06-29 0.047019 0.108781 0.237447 0.518914 1.110094 2.278303 4.733292
2025-07-06 0.041171 0.098756 0.222712 0.502400 1.107477 2.336487 4.988510
2025-07-13 0.037877 0.093965 0.218429 0.507450 1.150084 2.488968 5.449485
2025-07-20 0.036594 0.093653 0.223882 0.534409 1.242483 2.752535 6.167118
2025-07-27 0.034588 0.091305 0.224418 0.550273 1.312063 2.974549 6.817747
2025-08-03 0.032081 0.087340 0.220683 0.555723 1.358574 3.151048 7.386049
2025-08-10 0.029337 0.082354 0.213855 0.552897 1.385392 3.286255 7.874712
2025-08-17 0.026618 0.077023 0.205493 0.545267 1.399856 3.394754 8.312759
2025-08-24 0.024370 0.072627 0.198913 0.541256 1.422551 3.524125 8.811441
2025-08-31 0.021696 0.066636 0.187450 0.523285 1.408480 3.565491 9.105075